Kim's record 62 leads AT&T National
Golf Betting Lines
07/02/2009 -
Bethesda, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defending champion Anthony Kim set the course
record with an eight-under 62 at Congressional, taking the first-round lead
Thursday at the AT&T National.
Tiger Woods, the tournament host, shot a six-under 64 to share second place
with D.A. Points and Bryce Molder. Australia's Steve Elkington had a 65, while
Jim Furyk led a three-way tie at 66.
Kim, who made it around the 7,200-yard course without a bogey, collected six
birdies on his last nine holes to best the old scoring record of 63 set by Tom
Pernice, Jr. and Peter Lonard last year.
In terms of birdies, it was the kind of success the 24-year-old Kim hasn't
approached since he set the 18-hole birdie record at the Masters by making 11
of them in the second round.
"I'd like to say it was just me playing fantastic golf, but I got a couple
good breaks along the way," said Kim, who also set a personal scoring record
on the PGA Tour.
Kim made his eight birdies before Woods even hit the course to play his first
competitive round at Congressional since 2007. That was the year Woods founded
the Fourth of July Weekend tournament that benefits his foundation and pays
tribute to members of the U.S. Armed Forces.
Woods missed last year's AT&T National after having season-ending left knee
surgery following his U.S. Open victory.
He made about 150 feet worth of putts Thursday while shooting his best score
since also posting a 64 in the second round of the 2007 Deutsche Bank
Championship, which took place in September of that year.
Although Woods has routinely blamed his putting for his sometimes sporadic
play this season, he seemed confident with the flat stick on Congressional's
soon-to-be replaced greens.
"Today I hit a lot of putts on-line," he said. "Some went in."
Playing catch-up all day, he made four birdies and was bogey-free until
hitting into a bunker at the 11th hole. Woods rebounded with a 31-foot birdie
putt at the 12th -- this after he cursed his drive, which went into the right
rough.
He made back-to-back birdies at the 15th and 16th, holing a 12-footer on the
latter to climb within two shots of Kim's lead.
Overnight rains turned Congressional into a shooting gallery, and 36 players
in a field of 119 shot under-par in the first round.
"The golf course could be had," said Woods. "You could be aggressive, you
could fire at the flags and the only thing you really had to worry about is
spinning the ball back too much."
Kim focused on hitting quality shots and also found the course ripe for
scoring, although he took some time to explain the ways he got lucky during
the first round.
Unsure of the wind at No. 3 -- his 12th hole -- Kim fired a drive that was
headed 10 or 15 yards right of the fairway. The ball kicked left, saving him
from a lie behind a tree, and he made a birdie.
On the next hole, Kim's drive was so far right that it missed the trees
altogether, leaving him with a clear shot at the green. He made a seven-foot
birdie putt there, then completed a run of three birdies in a row at No. 5.
"This golf course fits my eye, and when I hit it wide I seem to get lucky out
here," Kim said. "This is one of the very few courses I feel like I get lucky
at. I love coming back to a course I have good feelings about, and obviously
playing well last year helped. But this course does fit my eye, and I'm
starting to see the break on these greens pretty well."
Kim added birdies at the seventh and eighth holes, rolling in a seven-foot
putt for the last one.
Saddled with high expectations since he won twice in 2008, and battling a
nagging thumb injury, Kim has struggled to crack the top 10 this season. He
hasn't done it since tying for second place behind Geoff Ogilvy at the
Mercedes-Benz Championship in January, the PGA Tour's season-opener.
But Kim has finally gotten some strength back in his injured thumb, helping
him to re-adjust his backswing, and he said his goal now is to win major
championships.
Congressional, set to host the 2011 U.S. Open, is a good place to practice.
"I'm starting to focus on my course management because I know at majors that's
what's important," said Kim, who tied for 16th at last month's U.S. Open.
"This is a major championship type of golf course, obviously, because in two
years we'll be here for the Open. I just know that if I'm working on the right
things, it's going to pay off, whether it's tomorrow, Saturday, Sunday or next
week."
The United States Golf Associations will begin its preparations for the '11
Open next week, when the Congressional greens are scheduled to be ripped up
and the soil underneath them replaced.
Woods' tournament will move to the Philadelphia area the next two years to
Aronimink Golf Club.
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Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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